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2010-10-6 02:40
North Korea has given official roles in the ruling Workers’ party to the third son of Kim Jong-il, the country’s ailing dictator, in effect guaranteeing his position as heir apparent.
Kim Jong-eun’s appointments in the party on Wednesday came the day after he was made a four-star general . The Kim family runs North Korea by divide and rule, playing the military off against the party, so it was important that the younger Kim received roles in both camps. The official KCNA news agency said the younger Kim had joined the central committee of the party in addition to becoming a vice-chairman of its central military commission. These appointments were made at the highest-level congress of the party for 30 years. Kim Jong-il received the party roles that identified him as his father’s successor at a similar meeting in 1980. Although Kim Jong-eun’s party titles sound lofty, they actually appear to be working-level positions that will allow him to cut his teeth gradually in the party. The central committee stands below the politburo, where some analysts had expected Kim Jong-eun to get a role, as his father did early in the succession process. The central military commission is far less important than the national defence commission, the state’s most powerful institution. These second-tier posts could give the heir apparent a taste of the mechanics of running the state. His father learnt many of his skills running state propaganda, one of the most important jobs. Choi Choon-heum, senior analyst at the Korea Institute of National Unification, said Kim Jong-il was pandering to the military by first naming his son and sister as four-star generals. The dictator runs the country through a songun, or military first, doctrine under which he favours the interests of generals over party apparatchiks. Securing the succession is of increasing importance because Kim Jong-il looks increasingly fragile after a suspected stroke in 2008. He is elevating officials such as Kim Kyong-hui, his sister, and Chang Sung-taek, his brother-in-law, in an attempt to ensure that these political veterans will be able to help the “young general”, who is believed to be only 27, find his feet. . The leadership of North Korea could be a poisoned chalice. The country of 24m people is under increasing international sanctions over its nuclear arms programme, ballistic missile tests and the torpedoing of a South Korean warship in March. South Korean officials said the first significant test of the new leadership structure would be a Group of 20 summit of world leaders in Seoul in November. North Korea resents showcase events in what it sees as its illegitimate southern neighbour and could rattle sabres. Seoul officials believe the G20 event could be a test of how it will interact with the new elite brought in to chaperone Kim Jong-eun. North and South Korea will this week hold their first military talks in two years. 朝鲜病中的领导人金正日(Kim Jong-il)的第三个儿子已在劳动党获得正式职务，这在事实上确保了他作为当然接班人的地位。
金正银(Kim Jong-eun)于周三获得党内任命，一天前他还被授予大将军衔。金氏家族借助“分而治之”的方式统治朝鲜，即鼓励军方与劳动党相互竞争，因此金正银在两个阵营都占有一席之地是十分重要的。据官方的朝中社(KCNA)报道，金正银已进入党的中央委员会，此外他还已经成为劳动党中央军事委员会副委员长。这些任命是在劳动党30年来最高级别的党代会上作出的。在1980年举行的类似会议上，金正日获得了确认他为父亲接班人的党内职务。 虽然金正银的党内职位听上去很高，但实际上这些似乎是工作级别的岗位，让他能够在党内逐步得到锻炼。中央委员会的地位在政治局之下，一些分析人士曾预期，金正银会像他父亲在其接班过程的早期那样，进入政治局。在朝鲜，中央军委的重要性远远不如该国最高权力机构——国防委员会。这些二线职位可让这名当然接班人体验管理国家的具体操作。他的父亲曾在领导国家宣传部门（最重要的岗位之一）的过程中学到了不少技能。 韩国统一研究院(Korea Institute for National Unification)高级研究员崔春钦(Choi Choon-heum)表示，金正日首先向儿子和妹妹授予大将军衔，是迎合军方之举。这名独裁者用“先军”教条管理国家，优先照顾军方将领（而非党内官员）的利益。 敲定接班安排的重要性日渐上升，因为金正日自2008年疑似发生中风后，看上去越来越虚弱。他正在提拔妹妹金敬姬(Kim Kyong-hui)和妹夫张成泽(Chang Sung-taek)等官员，企图确保这些政坛老手将能够帮助“年轻的大将”站稳脚跟。据信金正银只有27岁。 朝鲜领导层有点像一只被下毒的圣杯。这个拥有2400万人口的国家正因为核武计划、弹道导弹试射和3月份用鱼雷击沉一艘韩国军舰，而受到不断加大的国际制裁。 韩国官员表示，对朝鲜新领导层结构的首个重大考验场合，将是11月在首尔召开的20国集团(G20)领导人峰会。朝鲜憎恨在韩国举行重大展示活动（在朝鲜眼中，韩国的存在是不合法的），并有可能因此发起挑衅。首尔的官员相信，G20峰会可能成为一次考验，看韩国如何与受命为金正银保驾护航的朝鲜新精英班子打交道。 朝鲜和韩国本周将举行两年来首次军事磋商。 译者/何黎 |